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Future Scenarios

Future Scenarios: How communities can adapt to Peak Oil and Climate Change

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David Holmgren outlines four scenarios that bring to life the likely cultural, political, agricultural, and economic implications of peak oil and climate change, and the generations-long era of “energy descent” that faces us.

Includes downloads to his follow-up essays, Money vs Fossil Energy (2009) and Crash on Demand (2014)

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Product Description

“Scenario planning,” Holmgren explains, “allows us to use stories about the future as a reference point for imagining how particular strategies and structures might thrive, fail, or be transformed.”

Future Scenarios depicts four very different futures. Each is a permutation of mild or destructive climate change, combined with either slow or severe energy declines. Probable futures, explains Holmgren, range from the relatively benign Green Tech scenario to the near catastrophic Lifeboats scenario.

As Adam Grubb, author and founder of the influential Energy Bulletin website (now Resilience.org), says, “These aren’t two-dimensional nightmarish scenarios designed to scare people into environmental action. They are compellingly fleshed-out visions of quite plausible alternative futures, which delve into energy, politics, agriculture, social, and even spiritual trends. What they do help make clear are the best strategies for preparing for and adapting to these possible futures.”

126 pages with colour artwork and photos (127mm x 203mm)

Also available to read at the Future Scenarios website

Additional Information

Weight .175 kg
Dimensions 203 x 127 x 7 mm

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